Thinking Machines’ First AI Model, California Loses $3.2B to Texas, TSMC Adds $100B | Diet TBPN

Thinking Machines’ First AI Model, California Loses $3.2B to Texas, TSMC Adds $100B | Diet TBPN

July 16, 2026 20 min
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🤖 AI Summary

Overview

This episode dives into the release of Thinking Machines Lab's first AI model, the dynamics of open-source versus closed-source AI, and the geopolitical implications of AI development. It also explores California's loss of a major industrial project to Texas, TSMC's record-breaking investments in the U.S., and shifts in creator-brand partnerships.

Notable Quotes

- Thinking Machines just dropped the best open-weight AI model outside of China.John Coogan, on the significance of the Inkling model.

- California failed to move with the urgency the project required, while Texas moved quickly and aggressively.John Coogan, on California losing a $3.2 billion shipyard project.

- There is somewhat of a platonic ideal for some of these design patterns.John Coogan, on AI's evolving role in web design aesthetics.

🤖 Thinking Machines’ Open-Source AI Model

- John Coogan and Tyler Cosgrove discuss the launch of Thinking Machines Lab's Inkling, an open-weight AI model designed for fine-tuning via the Tinker API.

- The model, with 975 billion parameters, is smaller than leading closed-source models but emphasizes flexibility and customization.

- Tyler highlights its light distillation process, which some argue is not entirely novel but still significant in the open-source space.

- The model's release is seen as a strategic move to challenge OpenAI and Anthropic, with implications for U.S.-China AI competition.

🌍 Geopolitical AI Tensions

- Concerns about Chinese AI models, like GLM, distilling from U.S. models were raised, with John noting Anthropic's efforts to shut down millions of distillation accounts weekly.

- Beijing's potential restrictions on overseas access to Chinese AI models underscore the need for robust Western open-source alternatives.

- The U.S. government is urged to collaborate with allies to counteract China's growing AI influence, akin to efforts against Huawei in telecom.

🏗️ California vs. Texas: Industrial Investment

- California lost a $3.2 billion shipyard project to Texas due to slow approval processes, despite labor agreements and proposed legislation to expedite reviews.

- Texas secured the project with a $211 million tax abatement, highlighting its aggressive approach to attracting industrial investments.

- The loss raises questions about California's ability to compete for large-scale projects, despite its ambitious California Forever initiative.

💻 TSMC’s Record-Breaking U.S. Investments

- TSMC announced an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. semiconductor fabs, particularly in Arizona, solidifying its dominance in the global supply chain.

- Despite strong earnings, the market reacted skeptically to TSMC's spending plans, reflecting concerns about potential overspending in a cyclical industry.

🎥 Creator Economy Evolution

- Colin and Samir's partnership with Lexus marks a shift in creator-brand collaborations, moving beyond traditional ads to deeper integrations.

- This deal exemplifies how brands are rethinking their relationships with creators, potentially opening new revenue streams for content creators.

AI-generated content may not be accurate or complete and should not be relied upon as a sole source of truth.

📋 Episode Description

Diet TBPN delivers the best of today’s TBPN episode in 30 minutes. TBPN is a live tech talk show hosted by John Coogan and Jordi Hays, streaming weekdays 11–2 PT on X and YouTube, with each episode posted to podcast platforms right after.


Described by The New York Times as “Silicon Valley’s newest obsession,” the show has recently featured Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Mark Cuban, and Satya Nadella.


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