Slo-mo jobs growth

Slo-mo jobs growth

September 03, 2025 26 min
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🤖 AI Summary

Overview

This episode delves into the slowing U.S. job market, exploring the factors behind the deceleration, including immigration policies, tariffs, and demographic shifts. It also examines the first decline in homeownership rates in a decade, the rise of digital ad revenue among retailers, and the evolution of the U.S. as a global leader in economic data collection.

Notable Quotes

- If not for healthcare and social assistance, we would have actually had net job losses in each of the last three months.Daniel Zhao, on the critical role of healthcare in propping up the labor market.

- All advertising is marketing, but not all marketing is advertising.Patrick Coffey, on the blurred lines between entertainment and brand promotion.

- The United States produces the best economic data in the world, full stop.Kai Ryssdal, on the importance of accurate and reliable economic metrics.

🛑 Slowing Job Growth and Labor Market Trends

- The U.S. labor market is stagnating, with job creation dropping to 35,000 per month, compared to 180,000 in prior years (Betsy Stevenson).

- Healthcare, once a stronghold for job growth, is now slowing, with fewer workers quitting and confidence among healthcare employees dipping below 50% (Daniel Zhao).

- Black women, overrepresented in the care industry, have faced significant job losses—over 300,000 in the last six months (Kate Vaughn).

- Immigration slowdowns and demographic shifts, such as retiring baby boomers and lower birth rates, are shrinking the labor force (Mitchell Hartman).

🏠 Decline in Homeownership

- U.S. homeownership rates fell for the first time in nearly a decade, dropping by 0.1%, while the number of renters increased by 2.5% (Redfin data).

- Rising mortgage rates and stagnant incomes have made renting a more affordable option for many (Darryl Fairweather).

- First-time homebuyers are older than ever, with starter homes priced out of reach for younger generations (Daniel Oney).

📊 The U.S. as the Gold Standard for Economic Data

- The U.S. leads the world in economic data collection, a legacy that began during the Great Depression and was formalized with the 1946 Employment Act.

- Agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bureau of Economic Analysis continuously refine methodologies to ensure accuracy and reliability (Eric Hilt, Tom Stapleford).

- The nonpartisan, professional nature of U.S. economic data ensures its credibility and utility for policymakers, businesses, and individuals.

🛍️ Retailers and the Rise of Digital Ad Revenue

- Macy’s is leveraging Amazon’s third-party ad platform to sell digital ads, a strategy aimed at diversifying revenue streams and competing with e-commerce giants (Megan McCarty Carino).

- While partnering with Amazon offers scale, it also poses risks, such as sharing sales data with a competitor (Tim Hanlon).

- Retailers are increasingly adopting Amazon’s model to consolidate ad buys and attract brands, though success varies across industries.

📺 Marketing Through Entertainment: The Case of Roomies

- Roomies, a TikTok sitcom about 20-somethings in New York, is a stealth marketing campaign by the credit card company BILT.

- The show avoids overt branding in its early episodes, aiming to build audience trust before introducing the company (Patrick Coffey).

- This innovative approach reflects a shift in marketing strategies, particularly among startups focused on hyper-growth.

AI-generated content may not be accurate or complete and should not be relied upon as a sole source of truth.

📋 Episode Description

Job growth has slowed this summer as employers ride out President Trump's economic shakeups. Thanks to uncertain tariffs, funding cuts, and the immigration crackdown, most companies aren’t eager to hire right now. Even the health care sector is showing some cracks. Also in this episode: The number of American homeowners fell for the first time in a decade, economists explain how the U.S. became the economic data gold standard, and revenue from website ads grow more popular among retailers.


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