How many trade wars are we in right now?

How many trade wars are we in right now?

June 02, 2025 25 min
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🤖 AI Summary

Overview

This episode explores the evolving landscape of U.S. trade policy under the Trump administration, comparing the structured tariffs of 2018 to the unpredictable measures of 2025. It also delves into the unique economic dynamics of Utah County, one of the youngest regions in the U.S., highlighting its entrepreneurial culture and demographic trends.

Notable Quotes

- I've lost the plot.Kristen Schwab, on the complexity of tracking the current state of U.S. trade wars.

- I'd much rather make a dollar a day for the rest of my life than $100 today.Tyler Jackson, on his long-term investment philosophy.

- This is an economy that has found its entrepreneurial backbone again.Nela Richardson, on the innovative spirit of Utah County.

🌍 The State of U.S. Trade Wars

- The Trump administration's current tariffs are broader and less structured than those of 2018, which were implemented through formal investigations and national security justifications. (Kristen Schwab, Mary Lovely)

- The lack of clear objectives and process has eroded trust among trading partners, making negotiations challenging. (Lena Mosley)

- Tariffs are likely to remain a key geopolitical tool for the next three years, driven by economic pressures rather than strategic goals. (Olusanola)

📜 The Byrd Rule and Legislative Constraints

- The Byrd Rule, part of the Senate's reconciliation process, ensures that policies in budget bills must have direct budgetary impacts. (Kimberly Adams)

- Key provisions in a recent spending bill, such as AI regulation bans and tax retaliation measures, may be removed due to Byrd Rule violations. (Laura Dove, Sarah Binder)

- The rule serves as one of the few remaining protections for minority party rights in Congress.

🏔️ Utah County: A Demographic and Economic Outlier

- Utah County has a median age of 25.5, significantly younger than the U.S. average of 39, and boasts a low unemployment rate and a thriving tech and entrepreneurial ecosystem. (Kai Ryssdal, Nela Richardson)

- The region's affordability and cultural factors, including its predominantly Mormon population, foster a unique economic environment.

💡 Entrepreneurship and House Hacking in Utah County

- Tyler Jackson, a 29-year-old real estate investor, exemplifies the county's entrepreneurial spirit, leveraging house hacking to build a $6.5 million property portfolio.

- Many young residents fund their ventures through high-earning summer sales jobs, often tied to their experience in LDS church missions. (Tyler Jackson, Kai Ryssdal)

- The area's culture of delayed gratification and resourcefulness supports its entrepreneurial success, though rising costs pose challenges.

📈 Broader Economic Implications

- Utah County's youthful workforce and innovative culture offer lessons for addressing the challenges of an aging national labor force. (Nela Richardson)

- Despite its unique advantages, the county is not immune to broader economic forces, such as rising interest rates and housing affordability issues. (Kai Ryssdal)

AI-generated content may not be accurate or complete and should not be relied upon as a sole source of truth.

📋 Episode Description

It depends on who you ask. But we can all agree that this round of tariffs is not the same as the ones President Trump enacted during his first term. In this episode, we compare the tariffs of 2018 to the chaotic rollouts and rollbacks of 2025. Plus: We visit Utah County, one of the youngest areas in the U.S., with ADP chief economist Nela Richardson.


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